John Derbyshire: “The Third World Is On The Move. This Will Get WAY Worse Before It Gets Better.”
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The story about “migrants” in Europe (see last Saturday’s Oprahfication, Ethnomasochism, And The Preventable Death of Aylan Kurdi) has suffered a certain degree of Narrative collapse. More and more people have noticed that what the Main Stream Media still calls "refugees" are overwhelmingly healthy-looking young men in leisure sportswear and newish sneakers, carrying cellphones. [The New Face Of EU Immigration Is Young, Fit And Overwhelmingly Male, By Simon Kent,, September 5, 2015] Where are all the women and kids?

One of Steve Sailer's commenters posted links to six news photographs of crowds of these "refugees," tallying them by sex. Here’s a mix of Africans and Arabs in Greece, with two (2) headscarved women in the background, otherwise 98% percent male..


The commenter concluded: "Overall, these “migrants” are more male than the United States Army."

There's been a lot of young-male behavior there among the "refugees" too. I played an audio clip on the podcast [2m36s] of several hundred of them confronting police in Budapest, September 4th.


The police were trying to round them up, fingerprint, and register them, which is what a country is supposed to do when people claim refugee status. The “migrants” are chanting "f*** you!," although the website I took that from has beeped out the f-word.

And while Americans are pondering the word "refugee" in the MSM phrase "Syrian refugees," they may as well ponder the word "Syrian," too. The litter in camps that “migrants” have moved out from is full of discarded passports and ID documents from countries other than Syria.

The New York Times quoted a migrant telling their reporter:

"I am Syrian, you know, a real Syrian. Here, we have Pakistanis, Afghans, Iraqis, and they all throw away their papers and claim to be Syrian. Everyone is a Syrian now. It is a big problem."

[A Steady Flow Staggers Into Europe, Outpacing Pledges of Shelter, by Rick Lyman, Steven Erlanger And Aurelien Breeden, September 7, 2015]

In this context I note the September 5th report on National Public Radio from their correspondent in Iraq. Executive summary: Pretty much any Iraqi with anything on the ball is heading to Europe, or planning to:
Even as Hussein offers me a sharp, fresh juice, he's downcast. When I ask about the subject on everyone's mind here—the migrant flood into Europe—he laughs. "We were just talking about this!" he says. Several of his friends just passed by to say farewell.

They heard that German Chancellor Angela Merkel was welcoming Iraqis. "Each one said, 'I'm traveling,' 'I'm traveling,' 'I'm traveling,'" says Hussein. All want to be smuggled to Europe …

Roughly five times as many Iraqis … have arrived illegally in Greece through July this year than in all of 2014 … But the mood in Baghdad suggests that number is set to rise. Everyone seems to know several friends and relatives who have left abruptly this summer.

Mehdi Salman, a travel agent, says the number of daily flights to Turkey, as well as the cost of tickets, has tripled. People sell their cars, furniture and clothes for the cost of the plane ride and to pay the smugglers.

[ With Eyes On Europe, Iraqis Line Up To Leave Baghdad, by Alice Fordham, September 5, 2015]

Yes, folks, the Third World is on the move. This will get way worse before it gets better.

The “migrant” crisis is highlighting some of the problems with the globalists' dream of European unification under authoritarian bureaucrats. [Give refugees to the right to work from day one, says Juncker as he reveals power-grab for EU-wide migration policy, by Matt Chorley, Daily Mail, September 9, 2015]

The path taken by the mass of “migrants” in fact resembles the flow of liquid over a curved surface—the kind of thing you wrestle with when studying multivariable calculus. Here the flood flows fast through narrow channels; there it is pushed away by a steep slope; over there in that gentle depression it pools and puddles.

Migrant-wise, Europe in fact breaks into three clear zones: Call them sluices, Slavs, and suckers.

Sluice countries are those like Greece and Italy where the ““migrants” first land. These countries don't want the “migrants”. They're too poor and corrupt to have the efficient welfare systems the “migrants” seek, and both they and the “migrants” agree that the faster the flood sluices through them to elsewhere, the happier all will be.

The Slavs are the old Cold War Soviet colonies of Eastern Europe. Yes, I know, Hungarians, Romanians, Lithuanians, and Estonians aren't Slavs. It's just a handy and conveniently alliterative catchall term.

The Slavs would rather have nothing to do with the “migrants”, period. Poles, Czechs, Slovaks, Hungarians, etc.—and, yes, Russians too—kept the flame of national identity alight through half a century of communist tyranny. They have not yet sunk into ethnomasochism, and they are not about to let their nations' independence, barely one generation old, be overwhelmed by barbarian invaders. Some of their regions have folk memories from three or four hundred years ago of being ruled by Muslims.

The suckers are the decadent, self-loathing welfare democracies of northwest Europe, the ones putting up those "Welcome Refugees!" websites. That's where the “migrants” want to be; that's where the urge to national and racial suicide is strongest. The map below is a popular meme—the geography doesn't work like that, but that's the intent.


If the EU were capable of rational policy-making, it would save the sluice nations all the trouble and expense of having the invader hordes pass through their territories, and just set up collection zones at the main source points and fly “migrants” directly to the sucker nations in cargo planes.

Mind you, not all of the “migrants” want to be in northwest Europe. Here's one, at least, who is glad to be in Austria.

This is from another report out of NPR, National Public Radio. Yes, I know it's a Cultural Marxist outlet; but Mrs. Derbyshire has it on for background when she's making dinner, and I can't help but hear it. Besides, in my line of work it's instructive to hear from their own mouths what the CultMarx crowd are thinking—like listening to Tokyo Rose in WW2.

NPR had a reporter in the Austrian town of Traiskirchen, thirty miles south of Vienna, site of a big refugee center. Here is what I heard:

[Clip] Reporter: The refugee center is the largest in Austria, but it cannot cope with the nearly 4,000 people here. And more people arrive every day. Some are accommodated in tents behind the center, but many end up sleeping outside. Basil Saloukha and his wife, Dima, push a baby stroller down the sidewalk. They just arrived in Traiskirchen. The couple decided to leave Syria when their child was born.

Saloukha: In the war now, there is no place to raise a child. I have a 1-year-old. She had her first birthday on the Macedonian border.

Reporter: While many “migrants” want to go to Germany, Saloukha says Austria was always his first choice, perhaps because he loves classical music.

Saloukha: Yeah. It was my dream to maybe hear a recital or watch an opera in the Vienna Opera House, the best venue for classical music in the world. It's a nice place to raise a child, very calm. And yeah—people are here—are laid-back, a bit like us.

Austrian Town Historically Welcoming To Refugees Overwhelmed By Crisis , By Eleanor Beardsley, September 9, 2015.

That sounded to me like an interview with some regular immigrants”. Where is the refugee component there?

Saloukha says: "In the war now, there is no place to raise a child." Well, yeah, things are tough in wartime. Last week I obituarized British pop singer Joy Beverley, who had just died age 91. I mentioned that Joy and her sisters, when children, had been evacuated to my home town of Northampton because the East End of London, where their family lived, was having the crap bombed out of it by Herman Göring's Luftwaffe. Can't Syrians evacuate their kids to safe towns like we did?

And then there’s this: "Saloukha says Austria was always his first choice, perhaps because he loves classical music."

Sheesh, it sounds like the guy's applying to college. His first choice?

As I said, it's as if these people are immigrants”. Dissatisfied with their home country, they've decided to move to another—or to one of a list of others, ranked by desirability, with Austria as "first choice."

Nothing wrong with being an immigrant. I've been one myself, more than once. These people aren't bothering with the formalities, though: visas, skill sets, permits, health checks, waiting lists. They just got on a boat, then a train, then hiked over some fields, and hey! We're here! And our first choice is … Austria!

What I'm hearing is, there is no more formal immigration—not, at any rate, if you're migrating up the civilizational gradient, from a crappy country where something unpleasant is going on to a clean, orderly, prosperous welfare democracy. You just show up, in your first choice if you can manage it.

Even being a refugee didn't used to work like this. Refugees were corralled, tallied, fumigated, made to wait in grungy camps, then assigned to destination countries. Read Arthur Koestler's memoir Scum of the Earth.

Even ordinary immigration didn't work like this. There were checks to be done, hoops to jump through.

No more, not if you have Third World privilege. You just have to show up.

Invasion is the new immigration.

How collapsed is the Narrative? Just a footnote here to the foregoing.

I mentioned Mrs. Derbyshire above. This is an independent-minded lady who does not take her opinions from me and who keeps up with current events at an ordinary-citizen level via newspapers and the internet. In elections she votes Democrat; the family joke is that it's a waste of our time to go to the polling booth as we cancel each other out.

She does have some robustly conservative opinions in certain areas, though. Like most of the Chinese-born people I know, she strongly favors capital punishment. She is a frank race realist. And she has that very pronounced Third Worlder wariness about being taken advantage of.

So I was not too surprised to find that she is an utter cynic about the “migrants”. I was somewhat surprised, because the Narrative collapse I spoke of earlier is mainly visible at websites like, on comment threads, and among people like me who dig around obsessively in news stories to try to figure out the reality behind the news photos. At Mrs. Derbyshire's ordinary-citizen level, watching TV news and browsing for health tips and celebrity gossip on Yahoo, the Narrative is being firmly shored up.

Yet she sees through it. If she does, a lot of others do, too—not just news freaks, conservative partisans, and angry contributors to comment threads, but ordinary citizens like Mrs. Derb.

The globalist Open-Borders aspect of the Narrative is especially important to our Goodwhite elites, whose dearest wish is to submerge Badwhites for ever in a mass of nonwhites so that they—the elites—can live like their Goodwhite friends in Mexico and Brazil, ruling complacently over brown peasant proles.

In the matter of the migrant crisis, our elites will strive mightily to keep intact the story that this is a flow of desperate refugees whom it is our moral duty to accommodate it. But I see some small hopeful signs that they are aware of the possibility of Narrative collapse, and fear it.

Last week, for example, President Obama announced that the U.S.A. will take in 10,000 self-identifying "Syrian refugees" this year. So far, so in line with the globalist project. [Despite Terrorism Concerns, U.S. To Accept 10,000 Syrian Refugees, by Katie Pavlich,, September 10, 2015]

As Ann Corcoran points out at Refugee Resettlement Watch, though, this number is a lot smaller than those promoted by the refugee-contractor rackets, who want a hundred thousand.

And those 10,000 are to be taken from people already registered and in the pipeline, not from the hordes strolling into Europe this past few weeks. [U.S. planning to admit 10,000 Syrian refugees, AP, September 10, 2015]

Does this bespeak a certain caution on the Obama Administration’s part, a creeping awareness that the tramping sound they hear in the distance is not pathetic women, children, and old folks begging for succor, but angry peasants with pitchforks marching on the palace?

John Derbyshire [email him] writes an incredible amount on all sorts of subjects for all kinds of outlets. (This no longer includes National Review, whose editors had some kind of tantrum and fired him. ) He is the author of We Are Doomed: Reclaiming Conservative Pessimism and several other books. His most recent book, published by com is FROM THE DISSIDENT RIGHT (also available in Kindle).His writings are archived at

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