A startling New York Times-Siena College survey just reported that Democrats hold a 21-point advantage over Republicans among college-educated whites.
College-educated whites compose 26 percent of the electorate. Fifty-seven percent say they will vote Democrat in the midterms. Just 36 percent will vote Republican, and only 7 percent are undecided. This is bad news.
Good news is, Republicans dominate the white working-class vote: 54 percent of whites without a college education will vote Republican, 23 percent will vote Democrat, and 23 percent are undecided. This demographic is larger than college-educated whites at 39 percent of the overall vote.
But the GOP is especially excited about the Hispanics and the “Other” category. Thirty-eight percent of Hispanics say they will vote Republican, 41 percent lean Democrat, and 21 percent are undecided. Even if the figure remains 38 percent, it would break records for Republicans. It was seen as a breakthrough for Trump to win 32 percent of the Hispanic vote in 2020.
The “Other” category—Asians, multiracials, and others—is even more pro-Republican. Thirty-nine percent plan to vote Republican, 34 percent Democrat, and 27 percent are undecided.
However, instead of seeing a disaster, conservative pundits are thrilled. Numerous columnists and talking heads believe it confirms that the GOP is now the party of the “multiracial working class.”
But for Republicans to succeed, they must take back the White vote by forcing immigration back into the public eye.