In this week’s broadcast I ponder the long-term implications of the Detroit bankruptcy. I take it for granted, race-shy blather about “progressivism” and “sprawl” notwithstanding, that the fundamental problem is demographic.
There is a speculative, but I think quite persuasive statistical theory called Smart Fraction Theory. It says that for a society to function well, to be stable and prosperous, you need a certain threshold proportion of smart people, which the author of the theory says means IQ 108 or above. If your population`s smart fraction is below that threshold, the society won`t work. Detroit, it seems to me, illustrates the truth of the theory.
What does the future hold?
If blacks running a black city can`t work, and whites don`t want to move back there to live among them, we end up with what is essentially a reservation. Detroit may be the first, but there`ll be plenty of others. Low-class blacks are being cleansed from New York, Washington, Los Angeles, and other big cities. They have to go somewhere. They`ll go to reservation cities like Detroit, or to small towns from which whites and middle-class blacks will promptly flee.
We`ll end up with a lot of poor, black, unproductive, dysfunctional communities managed from outside: the custodial state envisaged by Richard Herrnstein forty years ago.
Forty years ago, when Coleman Young took over Detroit. It`s been a long forty years.