Nofziger's Third Party Expectation Vindicated! Caddell Sees Lethal Split Between GOP Establishment And Base
Print Friendly and PDF


H/T One Old Vet

In 2005 the late political strategist Lynn Nofziger, who deserves a good deal of the credit for piloting Ronald Reagan’s world-saving political rise, wrote an entry on his blog which caught our imagination. As James Fulford recorded in Lyn Nofziger On Third Parties, he said
…despite a record of failures, the law of averages says that one day a third party will have the right issue(s) and the right candidate to win the presidency…

I'm beginning to believe the issue is there and what is needed now is charismatic candidate to rally Americans in support of that issue.

The issue: open borders and illegal immigration…

It seems obvious at this moment that both parties have become complacent about the problem. And in politics complacency…is the sure road to defeat.

Somewhere hopefully comfortable Nofziger will be chuckling over Pollster Pat Caddell: One-Third of GOP ‘Hanging by a Thread from Bolting’ By Robert Wilde 5 Jan 2015
Caddell…has developed a reputation for being a straight shooting analyst, often criticized by his own party for predicting negative outcomes for Democrats…he will be releasing a new survey on Monday of 600 Republican identifiers or independents who voted Republican in November. In what Caddell refers to as a “stunner,” only 16% want “both” Boehner and imminent Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to be their leaders…

Another stunner for Caddell was when voters were asked, “Is John Boehner for average Americans in his heart, rather than for special interests?” Only 44% said yes, and 43% said no. “We’re talking about the base. These are not independents that are leaning Democrat, and there are no Democrats in the survey,” the pollster noted in astonishment.

( emphasis)
Breitbart’s Chairman asked Caddell “does the math show you that there could be an uprising and could the GOP go the way of the Whig Party?” (The Whigs elected two presidents in the mid 19th century, and at one time, claimed Abraham Lincoln as a member, but quickly disappeared from the political landscape over slavery issues.)

Caddell answered

The GOP leadership, the lawyers, the lobbyists, the consultant class of the Republican party, and all the big donors don’t understand that these people are angry. … I’ve never seen anything like this in the base of a party. And that is why the analogy to the Whigs is not so far-fetched.

Thanks a lot, Sheldon Adelson!
Print Friendly and PDF