From the NYT
Officials Debate Effect of Scrutiny on PoliceBy ERIC LICHTBLAU NOV. 4, 2015WASHINGTON — A rift widened Wednesday within the Obama administration over the politically charged question of whether a surge in crime in some cities reflects the reluctance of the police to confront suspicious people because of increased public scrutiny of their behavior.“I think there’s something to it,” Chuck Rosenberg, the acting chief of the Drug Enforcement Administration, told reporters at a news conference.Mr. Rosenberg said he sensed “more trepidation” among the police about confronting people for fear of ending up in a video controversy like the kind that have become common in cities nationwide in the last year.“Rightly or wrongly, you become the next viral video,” he said, adding that “now you can do everything right and still end up on the evening news.”Mr. Rosenberg became the second top federal law enforcement official in two weeks to wade into the debate over the so-called Ferguson effect, named after the Missouri city where the fatal police shooting of a black teenager, Michael Brown, led to months of protests. …But the White House has distanced itself from that notion, and some officials there and at the Justice Department felt that Mr. Comey’s remarks undermined their efforts to hold the police more accountable for civil rights abuses, while revealing a division within the administration that threatened to become a political distraction for President Obama on a major criminal-justice issue.
An alternative (if related) theory of causation would be that since the White House has been encouraging black criminals to feel like government is on their side rather than the side of the cops, blacks have been acting out more.
One way to check this is to look at my graph
of the 60 biggest cities
ranked in order of increase in murder victims from pre August 9, 2014 to the same time period in 2015 (based on Carl Bialik’s data in FiveThirtyEight
.) The biggest absolute increases have been in heavily black cities.
The Obama Administration’s promotion of BlackLivesMatter rageaholics seems to be encouraging blacks to murder blacks.