It has quickly entered the conventional wisdom that Bush won 44% of the Hispanic vote, up 9 points over 2000. But as I've pointed out before, there's very little real world vote total evidence to support this.
Robert David Sullivan of Massachusetts's Commonwealth magazine put together an interesting map of the U.S. divided into ten regions based on county-level voting patterns:
His "El Norte" region consists of most of the heavily Hispanic counties in the U.S., running from the Southern California coast, down to the Mexican border and all the way along the border to Brownsville on the Gulf of Mexico, as well as the upper Rio Grande Valley in New Mexico and Colorado, Las Vegas, Denver, and Miami.
In "El Norte" one-third of the population is Hispanic, so if Bush really did do 9 points better than in 2000 among Hispanics as the National Election Pool exit poll claimed (post-rejiggering), then this is where it should have shown up.
So, how did Bush do in El Norte?
Bush won 44.10% in the El Norte counties, up 3.33 points versus 2000. In the whole nation, he won 51.03%, up 3.15 points.
So he ran 0.18 points better in El Norte than in the nation as a whole — i.e., virtually the same.
The real vote counts all suggest that Bush's share of the Hispanic vote rose about as much as his share of the non-Hispanic white vote (+4), to somewhere in the upper 30s.
One of the latest euphemisms for illegal alien in the latest anti- 200 article in the Arizona Republic "The ads were brutally effective and succeeded in scaring people. Not voters, but our less-than-documented, long-term visitors from Mexico, many of whom are now terrified to step outside their houses to attend court appearances or to pick up the phone and call police in the event of domestic violence."
The Bush Administration loves to spew that touchy-feely rhetoric about family values not stopping at the border.
Here is a story about some of the other "family values" that are sneaking in.
The Tucson sector of the Arizona Border Patrol arrested 2,494 illegal aliens with criminal records during the month of October….an average of 80 criminal aliens per day.
On November 3, 2004, Border Patrol spotted a man climbing over the International Boundary fence. They chased him, captured him and enrolled him into the Integrated Automated Fingerprint Identification System.
His name is Ponciano Pineda-Guzman, a 41 year-old Mexican national with a let's say, checkered, past: "…records revealed that he had an extensive criminal background."
A few of Pineda's convictions were
These were his "lesser" crimes, by the way.
"Records also indicated that Pineda had an active warrant out for his arrest for 'Homicide-Willfully Kill a Non-family member with a Weapon' from Texas."
Pineda-Guzman is being extradited to Texas to be arraigned for his murder charges.
So: Pineda-Guzman has been deported twice for his crimes—only to sneak back in and commit more.
If we maintain the status quo, Pineda-Guzman will eventually be shipped back to Mexico. But he will lay low for a couple of months and be back in the U.S. in time for Christmas.
Let's just hope he doesn't murder Santa Claus.