The White Death: Gelman Shows Death Rate Still Rising for Middle Aged White Women
Print Friendly and PDF

Statistics professor Andrew Gelman follows up on Angus Deaton and Ann Case’s October paper on the increase in death rates among whites aged 45-54 with a graph showing the age-adjusted death rate among white men spiked in the early 2000s, then dropped back to about 2% above where it was in 1999 (in an era when death rates for Hispanics and blacks were dropping steadily). But death rates among white women continued to grow and by 2013, the latest year for which data are available, were about 9% above 1999.

The next step would be to decompose this into separate causes such as lung cancer and overdoses.

And here’s more bad news that was previously overlooked: Gelman’s new graphs show death rates are way up among 35-44 year old white women, too:


Screenshot 2015-11-10 23.04.23</p


And, judging by how bad the single year of age graph for 35 year olds looks, the trend should be checked in 25-34 year olds too:

Screenshot 2015-11-11 00.41.24

[Comment at]

Print Friendly and PDF