Romney`s White Share Inches Up to 56%, Putting Him In Lead (Rasmussen); Other Polls Mixed, Ignore Whites
October 06, 2012, 08:38 PM
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Rasmussen's Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Romney leading Obama 49%-46%. It's based on a three-day rolling average, so two-thirds of it was taken after the Presidential debate. Rasmussen has consistently been the most favorable poll for Romney, but this is the first time it's shown him ahead in a while.

Rasmussen Platinum Members [subscribe here] have access to the crosstabs, which reveal Romney's white share up two points since Friday:

Candidate

White

Black

Other

Romney

56

15

40

Obama

40

85

57

Of course, this still leaves Romney well behind the Congressional Republicans' 60% share in 2010 and even behind Dubya's 58% share in 2004. (For more GOP white shares, see here). Curiously, Romney's white share is actually a point lower than on last Saturday, but Romney also made small gains among blacks and others, so this time it's enough. Of course, this means he is still making no special headway among whites.

The National Journal also reports, grudgingly, Poll: Apparent Slide for Obama Following Debate| A one-day poll suggests the president's debate performance cost him (by Steven Shepherd, October 5. 2012). Clarus Research Group's Thursday survey found Romney ahead 47-46. Inexplicably, Clarus does not release a racial breakdown.

Gallup's seven-day rolling average tracking poll, updated Friday night, shows Romney behind Obama 46-49. Gallup, again inexplicably, does not release a racial breakdown either,