This op-ed is from a South African business magazine:
MOELETSI MBEKI: Wealth creation
Only a matter of time before the hand grenade explodes
Published: 2011/02/10 07:01:41 AM
I CAN predict when SA’s "Tunisia Day" will arrive. Tunisia Day is when the masses rise against the powers that be, as happened recently in Tunisia. The year will be 2020, give or take a couple of years.
Mbeki goes on
The year 2020 is when China estimates that its current minerals-intensive industrialisation phase will be concluded.
For SA, this will mean the African National Congress (ANC) government will have to cut back on social grants, which it uses to placate the black poor and to get their votes. China’s current industrialisation phase has forced up the prices of SA’s minerals, which has enabled the government to finance social welfare programmes.
The ANC inherited a flawed, complex society it barely understood; its tinkering s with it are turning it into an explosive cocktail. The ANC leaders are like a group of children playing with a hand grenade. One day one of them will figure out how to pull out the pin and everyone will be killed.
That last paragraph, with its implications of stupidity on the part of the African National Congress, would be racist if not written by someone named Mbeki. (Moeletsi Mbeki is the younger brother of Thabo Mbeki.)
But here's the main point of me quoting this. Mbeki writes that one major problem in modern South Africa is Third World immigration.
The ANC stopped controlling the borders, leading to a flood of poor people into SA, which has led to conflicts between SA’s poor and foreign African migrants.
Curiously enough, conflicts with "foreign African migrants" are now part of the problem in Tunisia