This has greatly strengthened to power of the MSM (a rare event these days) because of their opportunity to not name alternatives. Faced with the choice between, say, McCain, Giuliani and Romney, most voters feel obliged to pick one. So establishment preferences are entrenched.
There is a branch of business statistical theory which holds that the consensus of professional opinion is likely to be a good guess. This has been used in some surprising situations, for instance recovering sunken submarines.
Unfortunately, the candidates possibly congenial to VDARE.com readers, such as Hunter, Paul, and Tancredo currently score extremely low – the voting pattern reflects MSM preferences. At present McCain has 33.5%, Giuliani 27.2% and Romney 18%. (Curious that two of three of the “Republican” leaders come from such Democratic states.)
But, unlike the MSM, if this situation changes, Intrade is likely to report it.
Do Immigration Reformers gamble?