How the American Electorate Is ChangingYou can see from this map why the GOP had so much Electoral College success this year running an Alt Centrist candidate who was more appealing to moderate whites living near the Canadian Border than the usual Sunbelt candidates Republicans have nominated since Nixon.
By NIRAJ CHOKSHI NOV. 25, 2016
A decade ago, New Mexico ushered in a demographic trend that is likely to shape American politics for decades to come.
In 2006, it became the first state in the nation whose voting-eligible population switched from being majority white to “majority minority.”
California has since joined that group, according to estimates, and so, too, will Texas by 2019, according to three demographic experts. Nine more states are expected to reach the tipping point before 2052, when, those experts say, the national electorate will become majority minority, too.
“The map is going to continue to change,” said Ruy Teixeira, a co-director of the States of Change project, a collaboration among the liberal Center for American Progress, the Brookings Institution and the conservative American Enterprise Institute, which published the predictions in a pair of reports this year and last year. The projections are based on migration, fertility and mortality trends and could be affected by changes to policy.