From the NYT last week:
Of course, it’s also possible that Mr. Trump will not get a convention bounce at all, reflecting perhaps the most disorganized, unpredictable and bizarre convention in decades.From CNN today:
Donald Trump bounces into the leadEvidently, what Trump had to say in his big speech was pretty persuasive, if I say so myself.
By Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director
Updated 6:50 PM ET, Mon July 25, 2016
Donald Trump won a significant post-convention bounce, a new poll shows It shows him ahead of Hillary Clinton in a four-way race and one-on-one
(CNN) The bounce is back.
Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.
There hasn’t been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN’s polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.
[Comment at Unz.com]