Where the Polls Were Wrong
November 19, 2016, 06:35 AM
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Audacious Epigone graphs where the polls underestimated Trump (red) or Clinton (blue).

He offers a number of explanations for the patterns, including this interesting east-west distinction that first emerged during the Republican primaries:

Another thing that astute commentators noted from the beginning but that the polling agencies never fully picked up on was the nationwide east-west divide. The dynamics in play here are the rootedness, manufacturing, and populism of the east versus the transplanted, service-oriented, libertarianism of the west. Trump did better than expected in the east and worse than expected in the west.
As a minor point, that’s why election night was over almost shockingly fast: Trump did well in the East and Central time zones, so there was no need to wait around for, say, Arizona.

[Comment at Unz.com]

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