Reuters-Ipsos has a poll tracking partisan affiliation that has been running since the beginning of 2016. It now has a total sample standing at 457,215 responses. The explorer allows for all kinds of filters to be applied, including state of residency, educational attainment, race, and 2016 presidential vote. So here are the results with those filters applied to tease out whites without college degrees, graphically and in tabular form (for college-educated whites, see here):
|6) South Carolina||77.4|
|7) South Dakota||76.5|
|12) West Virginia||73.5|
|15) North Dakota||72.5|
|16) North Carolina||70.6|
|32) New Mexico||59.4|
|33) New Jersey||59.1|
|37) New York||56.6|
|45) New Hampshire||53.2|
|47) Rhode Island||50.2|
|51) District of Columbia||41.3|
With the modest exception of a few of the most leftist states in the country, Trump’s domination is nationwide. Even in those four states–four of the most leftist in the country–where Clinton won the white working-class vote, her margins were modest.
Corporate tax cuts. That will be Trump’s legislative legacy. What a pity.
For it to be otherwise, Trump is going to have to go to the mat on the wall. Bank on Pelosi’s and Schumer’s constituents needing the trough fully opened back up more than his own do. Congressional Democrats absolutely do not want to sign off on any wall funding, no matter how much Trump is willing to concede in exchange. The only way they are going to blink is if they are forced to do so due to political pressure from their taxeaters–both those who directly receive welfare benefits and those who fill the ranks of bureaucratic governmental do-nothing jobs.
Politically, this is his last stand. If he doesn’t get the wall funding, he’s two years a lame duck and one term a president. Consequently, Trump does not need to concede anything. If the Dems tap out, they’ll do so not on account of what Trump offers them but because they fear getting shot in the back if they don’t.