The Floyd Effect Vs. The Ferguson Effect: Breaking All Homicide Records
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From ABC News:

Homicide record broken in Louisville with 2 slayings, including a teenager killed on Thanksgiving Day

Louisville has seen 175 homicides in 2021, surpassing a record set in 2020.

By Bill Hutchinson
November 26, 2021, 9:20 AM

Two people were gunned down, including a 15-year-old boy, on Thanksgiving morning in Louisville.

The city of 600,000 residents saw its 174th and 175th homicides of the year in a span of six hours, breaking the all-time record of 173 set in 2020, according to Louisville Police Department crime statistics.

Although the Floyd Effect (2020–?) is much more national than the Ferguson Effect (2014–2016), it also features local hotspots, such as Louisville, home to the late Breonna Taylor. Last year’s 173 murders was a record for Louisville and this year it’s even worse:

Louisville eclipsed its deadliest year in the same week that Milwaukee, Wisconsin (183 homicides) and Columbus, Ohio (178 homicides) surpassed annual records.

Milwaukee was home to the Jacob Blake Kenosha riots in August 2020. Columbus saw the Ma’Khia Bryant police shooting that the national media had a fit over in April of this year.

Philadelphia recorded its 500th homicide on Wednesday, tying an all-time high set in 1990 with more than a month yet to go in the year. This week, Washington, D.C., police also investigated its 200th homicide of the year, the most to occur in the nation’s capital in 18 years.

According to one sample of cities, murders were up 4% in the first nine months of 2021 compared to the same period in 2020 (which saw a record-setting leap of 29.4% in total murders for the year over 2019).

But most of 2020’s murders followed the declaration of the racial reckoning in late May 2020, so the gap between 2021 and 2020 has been narrowing lately as we get deeper into what were the shootier months of 2020. I wouldn’t be surprised if 2021 winds up with a slight decline in murders for the whole year over 2020. Still, murders were up 4,900 in 2020 over 2019, so the two-year total for the Racial Reckoning Era would be approaching 10,000 incremental murders.

On the other hand, the ongoing orgy of robberies this fall is pretty crazy. Theoretically, there shouldn’t necessarily be a link between a rise in property crimes and a rise in murders. But both tend to have to do with how bulletproof black people are feeling at the moment, so perhaps the more Nordstroms that get knocked over, the more black criminals will shoot each other at after-parties.

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