In this week’s podcast I do the arithmetic on the coming wave of Cuban immigration.
The Census Bureau showed the Cuban American population of the U.S.A. as 1.8 million in 2010. Allowing for natural increase, it’s got to be nudging two million now. Presumably some high proportion have relatives in Cuba. Since Cuba is poor and America is rich, presumably some high proportion of those relatives will want to immigrate.The full Radio Derb playbill:
So be looking for a flood of Cuban immigrants this next few years. What kind of people shall we be getting, and how many?
Well, we’ll get a lot of old people—parents of Cuban Americans, brought in from filial piety, and as legal immigrants eligible for Medicaid and Supplemental Security Income. We’ll also get a lot of young people, born and raised under communism, and with correspondingly high expectations of state provision.
How many? Let’s see: Two million Cuban Americans … Let’s suppose each sponsors two relatives, which I think is conservative. That’s four million immigrants. The current population of Cuba is eleven million. Add the two million Cuban Americans, that’s thirteen million. Add those four million immigrants to the two million here, getting six million, bottom line: Of the 13 million people in the world identifying as Cuban, close to half will be living in the U.S.A.
That’s not even to mention illegal immigrants, an unknown quantity but surely greater than zero.