Published on VDARE.com on December 10, 2003
Why Control The Borders?
National Review, February
1,93, Vol. 45, Issue 2
An Immigration Debate
Julian L. Simon
George J. Borjas
Ben J. Wattenberg
Dan Stein
Robert L. Bartley
Peter Brimelow
The first difficulty in the
immigration debate is to decide just what is being
debated: Is it all a matter of economics? Or is it a
nation's racial composition? Or its cultural direction?
Five leading writers on the subject comment on Peter
Brimelow's article, and Mr. Brimelow responds.
Julian L. Simon
IN HIS anti-immigration broadside [June
22, 1992], Peter Brimelow makes two general
arguments against current immigration: a) that it is
economically hurtful, and b) that it alters the nature
of American life.
For many people, both of these
arguments are nothing but a facade for anti-foreigner
and racist feelings. Mr. Brimelow disclaims that his
message is based on his own racial preferences. I will
take him at his word.
Brimelow's main theme is part of a
very old tradition. Thomas Jefferson worried that
immigrants would not “harmonize'' with natives “in
matters which they must of necessity transact
together.'' He believed that the immigrants “bring
with them the principles of the governments they leave .
. . or if they throw them off, it will be in exchange
for an unbounded licentiousness . . . These principles,
with their language, they will transmit to their
children.''
The nightmare vision is of “us''
being overwhelmed by “them,'' and it has taken on new
life in the last few years. Pat Buchanan has written
that aliens alter “the ethnic character of California
and the United States.'' He quotes with approval the
magazine
Chronicles: “High rates of non-European
immigration . . . will swamp us all.''
When Margaret Thatcher closed the
door to the people of Hong Kong --British subjects—who
wanted to leave before the Communist takeover in 1997,
she used the same wording as Buchanan: the British fear
“being swamped by people of a different culture.''
People across the political
spectrum think that immigrants change our country. The
“liberal'' Arthur Schlesinger writes: “In the
twenty-first century, if present trends hold, non-whites
in the U.S. will begin to outnumber whites. This will
bring inevitable changes in the national ethos.''
Anti-immigration advocates such as
the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR)
lean heavily on the idea that the country should
restrict immigration in order to maintain our customs
and institutions. Immigrants, they say, will not
“make an irrevocable commitment to the language and
political system of America.'' And the
American Immigration Control Foundation distributes
scary pamphlets warning about “whites becoming a
minority group in America.''
People like Us
SUCH NATIVISM is psychologically
understandable. It is like wanting our own children to
resemble us. But the supposed facts used to justify it
are quite disproven by the history of immigration—into
the United States, at least. Immigration does not
substantially alter American institutions and culture.
Rather, the immigrants absorb American ways and are
absorbed into them.
For starters, ask yourself: Which
state is more quintessentially “American'' now—Hawaii,
with its majority of non-European stock of fairly recent
immigration, or Louisiana, with little recent
immigration?
Let's consider our distinctive
central institutions one by one. We'll see that our ways
are little different from what they would be if no
immigrant had arrived in the past half a century, though
of course immigrants have contributed many American-type
innovations.
Law. U.S. law clearly is an
organic growth from its Anglo-Saxon beginnings. The only
state whose law is noticeably different is Louisiana, a
result of its origins two centuries ago.
Language. Every child born
here now (though not in the nineteenth century) speaks
English as a first language, no matter what his parents
speak. The only exception is Puerto Rico. Its original
Spanish continues to dominate despite immigration of
English-speakers from the mainland. Words like chutzpah
and Mafia creep into the national language, but they are
at most a light spice on our native tongue.
Customs. We all shake hands,
and we don't embrace much, just the way Americans have
always done. Yes, we high-five on the basketball court
in imitation of Magic Johnson. But no black or white
yuppie high-fives at a business lunch, except perhaps
with a basketball buddy. And we continue to play
American football no matter how many people come from
soccerplaying lands or are better fitted by physique
for European football than for American football or
basketball.
Politics. We still have the
same old two-party political system, even after Ross
Perot. We have not descended into an anarchic national
system imported by foreigners, despite the hysteria that
contributed to the convictions of
Sacco and Vanzetti and the
expulsion of Emma Goldman. Nor have immigrants
imposed an “alien'' mode of government onto any of our states.
Holidays. Lots of our
forebears came here without a Christian tradition—from
Moslem and Jewish religions, and from African and Asian
ways. But are the department stores of any city in doubt
about whether
Christmas is our national holiday? Yes, there is
some variation in religious holidays celebrated in
various states—Good Friday, for example. But the
relative insignificance of this variation in our
national life emphasizes how little effect immigration
has.
The only religiously based holiday
that affects public life markedly is
Mardi Gras in Louisiana. This illustrates the power
of origins to set the pattern, and highlights the
imperviousness of institutions to change by minority
immigration.
Of course the WASP settlers swamped
the religious traditions of the Native Americans. But
that was because the immigrants quickly became the
majority, and because their material culture was
superior to that of the earlier residents.
Same Theme, New Variations
THE PREVIOUS two paragraphs contain
the seeds of a general theory explaining why immigrants
have had so little noticeable effect upon American life
patterns. The pattern of civic life remains what it was
before a wave of immigration, unless the immigrants are
greater in numbers or riches than the prior residents.
The chance that any immigration into the United States
will meet these conditions is nil.
Notice how I, the grandson of
immigrants, naturally write “us'' and “our,'' and how
you—whether a descendant from the Mayflower folks, or
almost fresh off the boat yourself—feel it natural to
use these same pronouns while you discuss with me this
or other issues. What greater proof could there be that,
rather than altering our national life, immigrants
intensify it and make us more like ourselves?
Immigration does increase diversity
in a variety of ways—foods eaten,
ethnic festivals celebrated, types of schools
operated privately, foreign-language newspapers
published. But this is variation around the main line,
rather than an alteration in the central tendencies of
national life. Nativists confuse the one with the other,
in error or purposely for its scare power.
Numbers Talk
NOW BRIEFLY about Brimelow's
arguments with the economics and demography in my The
Economic Consequences of Immigration, which he does me
the honor of addressing.
Brimelow writes like a man in the
tentacles of an octopus. He has the intellectual honesty
to acknowledge the research that has been done. He then
struggles mightily to free himself of the coils of facts
and theory.
I reproduce standard data showing
a) that immigration is not at record levels even in
absolute terms, and b), more important, that the rate of
immigration is only about a quarter of what it was at
the turn of the century, considered as a proportion of
the population. In response, Brimelow points to a single
year—1990—when there was a huge jump in absolute numbers
to 1.5 million. But the 1990 number was only a paper
adjustment, the result of many illegal residents
becoming legalized in that year through an amnesty.
There were fewer than 700,000 actual immigrants in 1990.
Brimelow refers to my making a
“crucial theoretical concession,'' when I speculate
that at some levels of immigration—far, far above what
the U.S. now experiences—it is conceivable that there
would be new and unknown sorts of problems. This is like
a physician telling a patient: “Your mild diet and five
minutes of daily exercise are fine, but you could
certainly benefit from more of both. Don't jump into a
wild regime, though, exercising six hours a day and
starving yourself. Just increase the levels gradually
and monitor your progress.'' Similarly, a gradual
increase in immigration is simple prudence, not a
“theoretical concession.''
Brimelow asks: “Is immigration
really necessary to the economy?'' I don't claim to
show that it is “necessary''; we can live nicely without
it. But the standard of living of natives will be higher
if immigration increases. This is like asking whether a
second car or toothpaste is “necessary.'' You can get
along quite well without these things—but you can live
even better with them.
Brimelow argues that immigration
may be increasing as a proportion of total U.S.
population growth. So what? This is of interest only if
racial composition interests you. It has no economic
meaning, except perhaps to constitute an argument for
immigration as a substitute for the children that
natives are not having.
A last desperate maneuver for
Brimelow is to say that “Simon's data are old.''
Only a journalist, whose business is “news,'' could
think that human nature is different now from what it
was a decade or two ago. Just for the record, Ather
Akbari of St. Mary's University in Canada has, with
Canadian 1981 and 1986 data, done the same analyses I
did for U.S. immigrants concerning taxes from and
transfers to immigrants; his results are practically the
same as I reported for U.S. immigrants. And though
George Borjas argues that immigrant “quality'' has been
declining --which other scholars dispute—nothing in his
data conflicts with anything I report. He does not show
that any group of immigrants, of any skill or education
level, does not contribute more to the public coffers
than it takes.
If you don't enjoy seeing
foreign-looking faces on the street or subway—and Peter
Brimelow says that this is so for him—neither economics
nor demography proves you “wrong'' or illogical. But you
must accept that you and I pay a price for not allowing
in more immigrants—a lower standard of living than
otherwise, a bigger federal deficit, and poorer
international competitiveness. And the facts cited above
disprove the argument that keeping out non-Caucasian
immigrants preserves those ways of public life that
Americans consider “American.''
Many of us care more about making
the United States a
“shining city on the hill'' than about the
origins of the people who help attain that goal. For
those who care about the strengthening of American
values of liberty, constitutionalism, and democracy so
that they will spread throughout the world, the most
effective step is to bring persons from the rest of the
world here, so that their light can go back to where
they came from, and make those places more like “us.''
George J. Borjas
PETER BRIMELOW's thoughtful
construction of a new conservative approach to
immigration is long overdue. I am pleased to see
NATIONAL REVIEW use some of the facts reported in
Friends or Strangers to buttress this new
perspective. Only two years ago, the conservative
reaction to my book was typified by William McGurn's
review in The American Spectator. He panned the
book because it supposedly ignored many of the gains
from immigration, as exemplified by the benefits
accruing to journalists who frequented an efficiently
run Korean-owned deli in the National Press Building.
That sort of benefit, he concluded, “doesn't show up
in the statistics.''
To many conservatives, Mr.
Brimelow's encouragement of government regulation of the
“immigration market'' must seem odd. Nevertheless, a
conservative position that encourages free trade and
restricted immigration is not contradictory. Simply put,
importing tomatoes is not the same thing as importing
people.
Mr. Brimelow argues that
conservatives should care about immigration policy
because of its effect on the nation's ethnic makeup.
Many Americans (including myself) find offensive the
notion that the government should consider the spelling
of a last name or the facial features of an applicant in
awarding entry visas. But to ignore the “ethnic
problem'' at a time when
long-dormant ethnic conflicts are being rekindled
around the world is simply to bury one's head in the
sand. Ethnicity matters, and it matters for a very long
time.
Even if one sets aside the
long-term implications of ethnic diversity, the case for
unregulated immigration collapses when the host country
is a
welfare state. The financial benefits received by
U.S. welfare recipients greatly exceed the per-capita
incomes of many source countries. Our
income-redistribution policies, which tax the skilled
and subsidize the less skilled, distort the incentives
of potential migrants (the skilled want to stay behind,
the unskilled want to come); reduce the work incentives
of immigrants in the U.S.; and diminish the incentives
of immigrants who fail in the U.S. to return home (why
go back when the safety net here is cushier than
opportunities elsewhere?).
My book documented that more recent
immigrant waves are
less skilled than earlier waves. Consequently,
current immigration policy has an important fiscal
impact. I've estimated that welfare expenditures on
immigrants are $1 to $3 billion more per year than the
immigrant contribution to the welfare system. Isn't it
ironic that the liberal policies responsible for the
welfare state dismantled the strong economic argument
for providing millions of people the opportunity to try
out the American dream?
Mr. Brimelow's discussion also
stresses that not all immigrants contribute equally to
the U.S. economy. Some are extremely productive and
generate many beneficial externalities. Others are less
productive, and Americans do not benefit as much from
their presence. There are great benefits to be gained by
admitting those who can contribute most. Canada and
Australia have realized this and often sell visas to
those who have the most to offer.
Finally, there is a strong link
between the skills of immigrant parents and the skills
of second-generation ethnic groups. This link arises not
only because highly skilled parents invest more in their
children, but also because of the beneficial
externalities accruing to children raised in more
advantaged ethnic environments. Current immigration
policy alters the skill endowment of the U.S. labor
force not only in this generation, but also in our
children's and grandchildren's. As a result, the
large-scale importation of unskilled workers since 1965
has already had a huge influence on the productivity of
the U.S. workforce in the next century.
Ben J. Wattenberg
I AM, OF COURSE, pleased to have
Peter Brimelow certify that my “romantic vision'' of
America as
“The First Universal Nation'' has actually
“entranced quite a few conservatives.'' I live for
that. I am also pleased that Brimelow has pried loose my
secret: I do not favor “unlimited immigration,'' but
only “designer immigration.''
Thus unmasked, I have a deal for
Brimelow: I'll solve his big problem, if he solves mine.
And we'll do it with “designer immigration.''
His problem is that he thinks
America is de-Europeanizing. At slower rates than he
suggests, that is indeed happening. I think non-Hispanic
European-descended Americans will still probably be in a
majority by the year 2080, but the proportion is
shrinking.
He thinks that de-Europeanizing
will harm America. I think we are the first universal
nation, that the
melting pot is working, and that we are
creating—through immigration and intermarriage—a new
folk that will be the model for mankind.
My problem concerns America's role
in the world of the twenty-first-century. Without
immigration, and with our very low fertility rates—below
the “replacement'' level for the last twenty
years—America would stop growing; indeed, would actually
start shrinking. This at a time when global population
will be growing substantially, possibly more than
doubling.
A large and growing country is not
necessarily a great and globally influential
country—look at China and India. But it is unlikely that
a small country, or a shrinking country (absolutely or
relatively), will be a great and influential one in this
day and age. (Rest assured, the twenty-first century
will not be known as The Dutch Century, or even The
English Century.) Because I believe that a great and
influential America has much to offer the world, and
because it is good for America, I want America to grow,
albeit at a moderate rate. (That was the theme of an
earlier book of mine, The Birth Dearth.)
As fate would have it, there is now
a way to satisfy both Brimelow and me.
Flash! The cold war is over. The
former Communist nations are struggling desperately to
enter the modern world. A civil war is raging in the
Balkans. Smaller conflicts are savaging areas of the
former Soviet Union. And the people involved in these
horrific situations are—Europeans!
Not only are they Europeans, but
they are formerly-behind-the-Iron-Curtain Europeans,
folks who, for many decades, were not allowed by their
totalitarian masters to emigrate. American policy during
that time was to say, “If you can get out, we'll take
you in.'' When the walls came down, however, we said,
“Too bad. Now that you're not oppressed by Communism,
you have to wait your turn. The line is long, the slots
are few --go somewhere else.''
Nice policy: “If you can't get out,
come in; if you can get out, don't come in.''
Suppose we now adopted a more moral
immigration policy, and said that former Iron Curtain
detainees didn't get a fair opportunity to emigrate
during all those dark years. And that we would now like
to offer a stated number of “Liberty Visas'' to those
people—say, 300,000 per year for the next ten years,
about 40 per cent of our current legal immigration. And
that we would do that without cutting back on any
existing legal immigration streams, from Asia, the
Hispanic nations, the Moslem nations, or Western Europe.
(Like Brimelow, I think we ought to get tougher on
illegal immigration—for lots of reasons, particularly
because we won't be able to keep a consensus on legal
immigration unless we do.)
Three million additional Europeans
in a decade, and their descendants, would change the
rate of de-Europeanization—Brimelow's bogeyman. Those
three million new immigrants would be subject to the
same “designer'' criteria that are now in place—which
include skills and education. We would do well to add
English-language proficiency.
Additional moderate demographic
growth, via immigration, is good for America for a
variety of reasons, including deficit reduction—to aid
native-born young workers in paying off fixed costs like
defense, debt, and, for several generations, Social
Security.
In these recessionary times it is
particularly useful. For example: we have this
real-estate problem. It is said that the root of it is
that America “overbuilt'' in the Eighties. There is a
synonym for “overbuilt.'' It is “underpopulated.''
Dan Stein
IN THOSE heady days of the collapse
of Communism, Francis Fukuyama
declared “the end of history.'' Now, three years
into what would have to be described as
“post-history''—as we witness parts of Europe unravel,
tensions in the Middle East escalate, and Africa sink
deeper into destitution—there is good reason to believe
that Mr. Fukuyama jumped the gun. As Winston Churchill
might have cautioned, 1989 was not the end of history,
or even the beginning of the end. It was, at best, the
end of the beginning.
“Post-history'' presents us with a
whole new set of challenges. More and more, people
across the political spectrum are recognizing human
migration as one of those thorny issues that stand
between us and post-historical bliss. Waves of desperate
migrants seeking relief from hunger, poverty, or tribal
warfare may prove to be a more formidable challenge to
the West than Soviet missiles or tanks. We knew how to
deter the Soviets, but how do you dissuade people who
have nothing to lose from attempting to migrate?
Among the seminal pieces that have
appeared on this emerging issue is Peter Brimelow's
article. In fact, Brimelow is so far ahead in his
understanding of where this issue is going that the
magazine's editors got left behind. The magazine's cover
asks, “Tired? Poor? Huddled? Tempest-Tossed? Try
Australia.'' Don't bother. Almost simultaneous with
the article's publication,
Australia cut its immigration rate in half.
What Australia, Canada, and most of
Western Europe have grasped is that, when it comes to
dealing with migration, their very nationhood is at
stake. Australia has come to recognize that in a world
where billions of people would like to migrate, their
nation of 17 million would soon cease to exist in all
but the geographical sense without severe curbs on
immigration. As Brimelow astutely points out, a nation
is more than a collection of people who happen to live
in close geographic proximity (see
Yugoslavia), and nations do not have an unlimited
capacity to absorb immigrants without irrevocably
altering their own character.
In the United States, however, the
ideological Left has never met a Third World culture it
doesn't feel we have to accommodate, while the gung-ho
free-marketeers of the ideological Right have never met
a cheap worker they wouldn't want to exploit. The Left
cannot bring itself to admit that our culture, for all
its faults, is what has made this country a desirable
place to live and is therefore worth preserving. The
libertarians cannot seem to understand that free-market
capitalism does not include selling your birthright.
However premature some were in
declaring the end of history, it is clear that the world
is entering a new phase. In a world of 5.5 billion
people, which is growing by a billion a decade, either
large-scale international migration will be history, or
countries that attempt to absorb the immigrants will be.
Brimelow has stepped forward to
declare that he is willing to make that choice. It may
be the most important post-history choice we, as a
nation, will make.
Robert L. Bartley
I FEEL UNIQUELY qualified to
comment on Peter Brimelow's call for more restrictive
immigration policies, since at one point in his career I
was instrumental in getting him permission to immigrate.
I have decided that if I ever help bring anyone here
from Canada again, part of the bargain will be that he
go down to the Rio Grande and look.
This border barrier is routinely
forded by cows and pigs. The guards on the American side
of the border are indistinguishable from Mexicans. The
immigration authorities once built a ditch and a fence
in downtown El Paso; it's known as the Tortilla Curtain.
For those not inclined to leave Manhattan, just read
“Month on the Border'' in P. J. O'Rourke's
Holidays in Hell.
I would have thought that in a
16-page discussion of the pros and cons of immigration,
there might have been room for a few words on precisely
how we are to regain the “control of our borders'' that
we supposedly have “lost.'' Are we talking here about a
2,000-mile
Berlin Wall with free-fire fields and land mines? Or
is this lengthy discussion merely, in the worst sense of
the word, academic? There is only one practical way to
end illegal immigration, which is making it legal.
This is not so farfetched an idea
as Mr. Brimelow and his like believe. He celebrates the
“lull'' in immigration from 1924 to 1965. Back in the
1930s, he tells us, “there was virtually no illegal
immigration.'' Under the new law, Mr. Brimelow
complains, 44 per cent of legal immigrants come from
Latin America and 20 per cent from Mexico alone. The
suggestion is that we should go back to the halcyon days
before 1965.
But before 1965, immigration from
Mexico and the rest of Latin America was unlimited. The
system of “national origin'' quotas did not apply to the
Western Hemisphere, except for Jamaica and Trinidad and
Tobago. Immigrants did have to meet criteria about
literacy (in any language), health, and the likelihood
of becoming a public charge, but there were no
limitations on their numbers.
There were still those, of course,
who forded the Rio Grande without bothering to apply.
Apprehensions of undocumented aliens rose after World
War II, only to plummet with the Bracero program of
temporary Mexican workers, then to soar again as that
program ended. Immigration was indeed less of a problem
before 1965. But not, as Mr. Brimelow and others seem to
think, because laws were stricter then. Rather precisely
because on the southern border they were more generous.
Today's world of instant
communication and cheap transportation of course means
more immigration, just as the law of gravity means
apples fall. These pressures dictate immigration
patterns that closed, or open, borders affect only
marginally, especially in a vast and diverse nation like
the United States. The vaunted solution of employer
sanctions has not stemmed the flow, nor will any
measures the American conscience will allow. The
alternative is to learn to like it, which is why the
Wall Street Journal proclaims the ideal of open borders.
But of course, the new
“conservative'' movement (or at least mini-movement)
that bobs in the wake of the failed Buchanan candidacy
is not in any practical sense about stopping
immigration. It is about not liking it. Or liking, for
that matter, change, diversity, or modernity. This kind
of conservatism is not going to be politically viable in
this country. It may have intellectual virtues that
appeal to some, but at the expense of copping out of the
age in which we live.
Pro-immigration conservatives are
innocent of “little things like tradition and
history,'' Mr. Brimelow says. Yet he's honest enough
to concede, “The American experience with immigration
has been a triumphant success.'' Precisely. Despite
the short-run problems, in the long run immigration is
good for us. That is the lesson of our tradition and our
history.
Peter Brimelow
FOR NEW READERS: My
June 22 article demonstrated that U.S. immigration
policy since the 1965 reforms has been a grand accident.
The resulting influx has been vastly larger, more
unskilled, and more overwhelmingly Third World than was
ever envisioned. There is no positive economic rationale
for this influx—essentially because labor is far less
important than innovation as a factor of production. But
if continued it must have radical political
consequences, displacing and dissolving the American
nation as it had evolved by 1965. NOW READ ON
JULIAN SIMON graciously deigns to
take my “word'' that I am not a racist. But I did not
give it. Since the modern definition of “racist'' is
“someone who is winning an argument with a liberal''
(or, too often, with a libertarian), I could hardly do
so.
Nor do I feel obliged to bother
with this smear now. As I pointed out in my article,
Professor Simon has the issue exactly backward: the onus
is on those who favor the major change in the ethnic
balance entailed by current immigration levels to
explain exactly what they have against the American
nation as it had evolved by 1965 (90 per cent white,
primarily from Italy, Germany, Ireland, and Britain).
While they're at it, they can explain just what makes
them think that multi-racial societies work.
Professor Simon claims to be aware
of the recent evidence of low and deteriorating skills
among the post-1965 immigrant influx. But readers who
study Professor Borjas's contribution here can see that
Professor Simon has still not grasped the argument,
irrelevant references to Canada notwithstanding. By
contrast, the unimpeachably free-market
Gary Becker wrote in the Wall Street Journal,
on the very day his Nobel Prize for economics was
announced last fall, that contemporary America's massive
transfer payments made open immigration impractical.
Professor Simon does not respond at
all to other points: for example, that American
immigration history has been marked by pauses, allowing
digestion; or that the current influx is reducing the
income levels of unskilled Americans, notably underclass
blacks. He does assert a “general theory'' that
“immigrants have had so little noticeable effect upon
American life patterns'' because their numbers have been
so low. But I showed that immigration has had
consequences, which I traced, and that current numbers
are high—relative to American birth-rates, the key index
of demographic impact.
Professor Simon does, however, make
what I regard as (another) crucial concession: “I don't
claim to show that immigration is necessary: we can live
nicely without it.'' (He still says that immigration
means a higher “standard of living,'' but presumably
this is gross, not per capita.) This is a consensus
among economists that haggling over technical issues has
obscured. If the current immigration is not necessary
economically, it must be justified politically. Again,
however, the onus is on Professor Simon to make this
case.
Perhaps we should sort this out
over dinner (at NATIONAL REVIEW's expense). I will bring
along my copy of Professor Simon's The Economic
Consequences of Immigration, so that if he wishes he
can amend the kind inscription he was good enough to
place there.
(I would still like to know why it
omits all mention of
Japan, which has done just fine since World War II
with virtually
no immigration at all.)
I am happy to forgive Ben
Wattenberg his teasing tone. I take it to be camouflage
for what, in the present political climate, is a fairly
courageous proposal: that the U.S. should assert control
over the immigration influx and shift its ethnic
composition back toward Europeans. Admittedly only
moderately—but he also quietly slips in a general
“designer immigration'' English-proficiency requirement.
Wow!
It would be nice to think Mr.
Wattenberg knew something not vouchsafed to the rest of
us when he announced he was voting for Bill Clinton. But
I don't think so. I suspect a Clinton Administration
just makes it more certain that any such rebalancing
would be blocked by the ethnic lobbies. Which is why I
believe that the only practicable strategy may be that
proposed by the Federation for American Immigration
Reform: an outright immigration moratorium.
Mr. Wattenberg refers to
“Brimelow's bogeyman''—the “de-Europeanization'' of
America. This was a common misreading of my article. I
do think Americans are perfectly entitled to be
concerned about de-Europeanization. But I also think
that massive unskilled immigration is a problem
regardless of race. (In 1986, for example, 36 per cent
of male immigrants had less than 12 years' education, v.
15 per cent of native-born Americans.) Just as economic
growth is caused by ideas, not raw labor, so U.S.
pre-eminence in the world is based on the quality, not
the quantity, of its population. Unskilled immigration
can't help much. And, by causing economic distortion and
social stress, it may actually hurt.
This brings me to a more
fundamental disagreement with Mr. Wattenberg. He thinks
the U.S. population must keep growing. I think a stable
population is just fine, so long as its skills keep
improving. The very facts Mr. Wattenberg cites mutiny
against his thesis. India and China are not more
important than the United States. And anyway, with the
collapse of the Soviet Union, the United States is now
the third most populous country in the world. Is an
obsession with population growth Wattenberg's
will-o'-the-wisp?
Bob Bartley is quite right that he
was instrumental in helping me get back into the U.S.
after a sojourn in Canada. I remain deeply grateful.
Under the circumstances, it is nice of him to require me
to go no further south than the Rio Grande! On the other
hand, perhaps the experience might convince him that
immigration has consequences. And they aren't always
welcome.
Mr. Bartley is also quite right
that the 1924 Act's national-origin quotas did not apply
to the Western Hemisphere. But nobody came anyway. In
the 1931-40 decade, for example, there were only 22,319
immigrants from Mexico, and only 160,000 from all of the
Americas. There were only 299,811 and 998,944
respectively in 1951 - 60. The Western Hemisphere
participated fully in the forty-year Great Immigration
Lull.
The reasons were partly the
Depression and World War II, partly the absence of an
immigrant pipeline—and partly those other “criteria''
for immigration to which Mr. Bartley fleetingly refers.
These usually meant that Western Hemisphere immigrants
had to have a job offer. Thus, as a practical matter,
U.S. policy was simply not as “generous'' as it is
today, when legal immigration is a sort of entitlement
based on “family reunification.'' There was certainly in
no sense of the term an “open border.''
Which, of course, was why the
Bracero guest-worker program was eventually
invented. And why, since breaking immigration law was
cause for exclusion from the program, it moved workers
in and out of the country with such comparative
smoothness. It is most interesting that immigration
enthusiasts who invoke alleged labor shortages never
suggest reviving this perfectly rational option.
I am surprised that Mr. Bartley is
surprised that I didn't bother to discuss the mechanics
of policing the border. After all, this can hardly be
much of a trick for a country that put a man on the
moon. Still, if Mr. Bartley cares to look into the
question further, he will find that, because of terrain,
illegal crossings can only occur at a relatively
small number of choke-points. FAIR estimates they
constitute about 250 out of 2,000 miles. And apart from
choking off the supply of illegal immigrants, much more
could be done on the demand side by regulating those
already here. What's lacking is not the way. It is the
will.
As for Mr. Bartley's idea that open
borders are desirable and inevitable, I strongly
recommend that he consult more carefully Professor
Simon's
The Economic Consequences of Immigration. In a
curiously unnoticed passage—which Professor Simon now
apparently wishes to gloss over—this dismisses free
immigration a) because no one knows how many people
would come (and the Third World demographic overhang is,
as Dan Stein notes, enormous); and b) because of
“negative human capital externalities''—the
phenomenon where large numbers of low-skilled immigrants
overwhelm the effectiveness of the high-skilled natives.
Sounds like
Manhattan (or Southern California) to me.
Mr. Bartley, sir, meet Professor
Simon. Professor Simon, meet Mr. Bartley. Go sort it
out. And may the most diverse, modern, etc. person (see
below) win.
But why are we talking about
illegal immigration anyway? It is still only a fraction
of the legal influx. Mr. Bartley's emotional peroration
about “change, diversity, and modernity'' is all
very well, although better done any day in the New
York Times. But even here the question is: Why this
change and not that change? Why (illegal) Hispanics and
not (legal) Koreans? Why Koreans and not Chinese? Why
Chinese and not Europeans? Why one million immigrants
and not ten million?
Each of these issues is determined
by public policy, currently via default. All should
therefore be submitted to the American people. Even if
the political elite—Left, Right, and Neo—doesn't want
them to ask: Why any immigrants at all?
Many thanks to Dan Stein and George
Borjas.
By Julian L. Simon , George J.
Borjas , Ben J. Wattenberg , Dan Stein , Robert L.
Bartley and Peter Brimelow
Mr. Simon is Professor of Business
Administration at the University of Maryland, and most
recently the author of The Economic Consequences of
Immigration and Population Matters: People, Resources,
Environment, and Immigration
Mr. Borjas, a professor of
economics at the University of California at San Diego,
is the author of
Friends or Strangers
Mr. Wattenberg is a Senior Fellow
at the American Enterprise Institute
Mr. Stein is executive director of
the Federation for American Immigration Reform
Mr. Bartley is editor of the
Wall Street Journal
Mr. Brimelow is a Senior Editor at
Forbes.