TODAY'S LETTER: A California Reader Asks If We Really Need Immigrant Ice Cream Vendors Who Don’t Learn English

02/08/10 - It Is Now Official: The U.S. Is A Police State, by Paul Craig Roberts

02/05/10 - By Popular Request: More On Soledad O’Brien—This Year’s VDWIRA Winner, by Joe Guzzardi

02/05/10 - Not Your Father's Army, by Chuck Baldwin

Steve Sailer's America's Half Blood Prince: Barack Obama's "Story of Race and Inheritance" now available in paperback - Also as PDF download. [Downloads since October 29 2008: 6461] click here!

Free PDF download of Alien Nation: Common Sense About America's Immigration Disaster Now Available! [Downloads since June 1 2007: 8890]

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Special VDARE.COM anthology issue of The Social Contract Magazine!

Peter Brimelow at the Miller Center of Public Affairs in RealVideo: Is Immigration a Problem? Are the Minute Men the Answer? [Text version] [Text version of Q&A]

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02/05/10 - View From Lodi, CA Pittsburgh, PA: Super Bowl Income Opportunities—Proceed With Caution! by Joe Guzzardi

02/04/10 - Left Targets Kevin MacDonald Again. How About These Professors Too?, by Anonymous Attorney

02/04/10 - The Super-Sized Census Boondoggle: Shaping The Electoral Landscape, by Michelle Malkin

02/04/10 - Will Obama Play the War Card? by Patrick J. Buchanan

02/03/10 - Why Global Democratic Revolution (And Mass Immigration) Won’t Work, by F. Roger Devlin

02/03/10 - Markets Fail When Humans Are Unregulated, by Paul Craig Roberts

02/02/10 - Sojourners And Subversives: Cataloguing the Treason Lobby, by F. Roger Devlin

02/02/10 - SEIU Fat Cats Behind First Lady's Anti-Obesity Campaign, by Michelle Malkin

02/02/10 - My Latest Suggested Reading List, by Chuck Baldwin

02/02/10 - The Crisis Is Not Over, by Paul Craig Roberts

02/01/10 - Memo From Middle America (Formerly Known As Memo From Mexico): From Conservative Radio Shock Jock To “Defensor De La Raza”—The Ben Reed Story, by Allan Wall

02/01/10 - Bring Our Marines Home, by Patrick J. Buchanan

01/31/10 - How Come Tom Edsall Can Talk About The Sailer Strategy And I Can’t? by Steve Sailer

01/30/10 - Saturday Forum: A California Reader Says Charge Immigrants For English Instruction!; etc.

VDARE is a coalition. Some of us have distinguished oeuvres; some have deviant views (categories not necessarily exclusive). The satellite pages (click on name) represent our individual archives.

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01/29/10 - TPS For Haitians Will Cost Obama Florida In 2012—And The Election, by Joe Guzzardi

01/29/10 - Obama Falls To Earth—But He Still Has The GOP, by Steve Sailer

01/29/10 - View From Lodi, CA Pittsburgh, PA: The Tiger Woods Foundation—Betraying His Other Kids, by Joe Guzzardi

01/29/10 - America’s Rudderless Ship Of State, by Chuck Baldwin

01/29/10 - Crisis of the Government Party, by Patrick J. Buchanan

01/28/10 - Democrat Prefers Another Leader's Common Sense To Obama’s SOTU Address, by Donald A. Collins

01/28/10 - Courtroom Cirque du Jihad, by Michelle Malkin

01/27/10 - It’s Happening There: Britain’s Emerging Police State, by Sean Gabb

01/27/10 - In-state Illegal Alien Tuition Challenged In Texas, by Peter Morrison

01/26/10 - Why Do Patriots Hate National Review?, by Peter Brimelow

01/26/10 - The Spender-in-Chief’s Fiscal Freeze Follies, by Michelle Malkin

01/25/10 - Advocacy By Omission: Richard E. Nisbett’s Intelligence and How to Get It, by Professor J. Philippe Rushton

01/25/10 - Saving Professor Bernanke, by Patrick J. Buchanan

01/25/10 - Rule By The Rich, by Paul Craig Roberts

01/24/10 - Here We Go Again: US News & World Report On “Race to the Top”—Obama’s Version Of “No Child Left Behind”, by Richard Hoste

01/23/10 - Saturday Forum: A Liberal Immigration Patriot in Is Shocked By Attacks Against Him In Huffington Post; etc.

01/23/10 - Haiti—The Ultimate Symbol Of Planet Earth's Headlong Plunge To Disaster, by Donald A. Collins

01/23/10 - The Truth About Abortion, by Chuck Baldwin

01/22/10 - Soledad O’Brien Wins VDARE.COM's Seventh Annual Worst Immigration Reporting Award! by Joe Guzzardi

01/22/10 - View From Lodi, CA Pittsburgh, PA: Lodi School Budget Deficit Directly Tied To Immigration, by Joe Guzzardi

01/21/10 - National Data: Haitian Immigrants Pretty Useless—But Haiti Still Needs Them More Than We Do, by Edwin S. Rubenstein

01/21/10 - Has Obama Lost White America? by Patrick J. Buchanan

01/21/10 - Conservatives: Beware of McCain Regression Syndrome, by Michelle Malkin

01/21/10 - How Wall St Destroyed Private Medicine, by Paul Craig Roberts

01/20/10 - Scott Brown’s Massachusetts Massacre: The Unspoken Race Dimension, by Washington Watcher

01/20/10 - Scott Brown’s Victory: New Englanders Love Their “Little Platoons”. Immigration Is Hurting Them, by Matthew Richer

01/20/10 - The Rule of Law Has Been Lost, by Paul Craig Roberts

01/19/10 - The Democrats’ Massachusetts Meltdown, by Michelle Malkin

01/19/10 - Why Has President Obama Established A "Council Of Governors", by Chuck Baldwin

01/18/10 - Not Supposed To Say It, But…Had It With Haiti? by Athena Kerry

01/18/10 - Joe Guzzardi’s Presentation To The Society For American Baseball Research (Video)

01/18/10 - Is America Moving Right? by Patrick J. Buchanan

01/17/10 - Why Haiti Is So Hopeless; And A Very Modest Proposal, by Steve Sailer

01/16/10 - Saturday Forum: An AZ Reader Predicts RINO Gov. Jan Brewer Will Be Replaced By Immigration Patriot Dean Martin; etc.

01/15/10 - Returning To California—And Saddened By What I Saw, by Joe Guzzardi

01/15/10 - Thank You, Governor, by Chuck Baldwin

Prior 2010 Articles...

Announcing American Renaissance’s 2010 Conference—Feb. 19-21!

02/07/10 - Diversity Is Strength! It’s Also…Homicide-Prone Minorities In Los Angeles, by Steve Sailer

02/06/10 - Saturday Forum: An Idaho Reader Says Haitians Are Welcome In Senegal; etc.

National Data, By Edwin S. Rubenstein

Jobs Jump In January—But American Worker Displacement Soars

U.S. payrolls shrank by 20,000 jobs in January, deepening concern that relief from the deepest employment fall since the Great Depression would be slow to come.

But even as the economy floundered in its struggle to start creating jobs again, the unemployment rate fell, to 9.7 percent from 10 percent in December.

This apparent anomaly reflects two differing employment surveys. The survey of households, used to calculate the unemployment rate, reported a massive 541,000 rise in employment, and a 430,000 fall in unemployment. The labor force rose by 11,000.

That’s good news. Household employment usually leads payroll employment in signaling turns in the economic cycle. We can expect at least a temporary resumption of robust payroll growth in coming months.

But the job figures also show a resumption of American worker displacement: In January Hispanics gained jobs at nearly four times the rate of Non-Hispanics:

• Total employment:                      +541,000 (+0.39 percent)

• Non-Hispanic employment:           +217,000 (+1.11 percent)

• Hispanic employment:                  +324,000 (+0.27 percent)

People on the patriotic side of the immigration debate saw it coming. They warned that the Obama stimulus would benefit occupations disproportionately manned by immigrants. January’s pattern–with the 16 percent of the labor force that are Hispanics garnering 40 percent of the new jobs—seems to justify their “paranoia.”

The VDARE.COM American Worker Displacement Index (VDAWDI) rose by 0.85 percent January, to a record 125.6:

The blue line tracks Hispanic job growth since January 2001; the pink tracks non-Hispanic job growth over that period, while the yellow, or VDAWDI, line tracks the ratio of Hispanic to non-Hispanic job growth since that date. All lines start at 100.0 in January 2001.

VDAWDI is calculated like this:

• For every 100.0 Hispanics employed in January 2001 there are now 122.4

• For every 100.0 non-Hispanics employed in January 2001 there are now 97.5

• VDAWDI equals 125.6 (=100 X 122.3/97.5)

Hispanic employment is still the best proxy we have for the month to month impact of immigration on employment.

However, January’s employment report finally broke some new ground in immigration data transparency. A new table shows employment and unemployment data for immigrants and natives explicitly.

Unfortunately, the data are not seasonally adjusted, making month to month comparisons impossible. However, the displacement of native-born Americans by immigrants is clear in the year over year figures:

Several things stand out.

• First, in 2009 native employment fell at more than twice the rate of foreign-born employment: -2.8 percent versus -1.3 percent.

This is consistent with what we find in VDAWDI.

• Second, immigrant unemployment rose faster than native unemployment. This occurred mainly because natives left the labor force in far greater numbers: More than two and one half million natives dropped out of the labor force in the 12 months ending January 2010, versus only 49,000 immigrants.

Labor force dropouts are not counted as “unemployed” although most are too discouraged to even look for work. Had they remained engaged in their job search, the native unemployment rate would have grown faster than the foreign-born rate.

• Third, there is the continued growth in foreign-born population.

Incredibly, despite the recession, it rose 1.2 percent in the past year, or 50 percent faster than the native population.

Coming at a time when many illegals are reportedly returning to Mexico, this highlights the continued role of legal immigration in driving population growth—and American worker displacement.

Only an immigration moratorium can protect the American worker.

Edwin S. Rubenstein (email him) is President of ESR Research Economic Consultants in Indianapolis.

If you want to email or print out, format by clicking on this permanent URL:
http://www.vdare.com/rubenstein/100208_nd.htm

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